Question 1

How does Maude pick the three scenarios?

Accepted Answer

Safe: existing income with normal decay, no new releases beyond what you have queued. Steady: existing income plus one or two reasonable releases per year, modest growth. If It Pops: one of your tracks lands a moment (sync, playlist, viral, press) and pulls everything up with it. Each is grounded in what you have actually done so far.

Question 2

How accurate is a three-year forecast?

Accepted Answer

More accurate than no forecast and less accurate than reality usually turns out to be. The point is not the precise number. The point is the band, knowing what your income looks like if things stay flat versus if they pop, so you can make a decision about a day job, a deal, or a release plan.

Question 3

Why three years instead of ten?

Accepted Answer

Three years is honest about the visibility most artists have. Ten-year modeling requires sensitivity analysis, decay curves, and scenario weighting that only become useful with deep, multi-period data. Three years gives you a useful forecast without pretending you can see further than you can.

Question 4

Does Maude include sync, merch, and live in the forecast?

Accepted Answer

Yes. She maps every revenue stream you currently earn from and projects each independently. Streaming usually stays flat or grows slowly. Sync is lumpy. Merch tracks audience size. Live is the wildcard, scaled to your touring history.

Question 5

What if I just released my first song?

Accepted Answer

Maude will flag the small sample and forecast cautiously. The Safe scenario will be very small. Steady will be modest growth. If It Pops will be the realistic upside if your first release does what catchy first releases sometimes do. Better data later means a sharper forecast later.

Three scenarios.
One honest forecast.

Can I quit my day job? What's the realistic forecast?

Things people ask before they trust her on this.

Maude handles five more jobs.

Three scenarios.One honest forecast.

Can I quit my day job? What's the realistic forecast?

Things people ask before they trust her on this.

How does Maude pick the three scenarios?+

How accurate is a three-year forecast?+

Why three years instead of ten?+

Does Maude include sync, merch, and live in the forecast?+

What if I just released my first song?+

Maude handles five more jobs.

Three scenarios.
One honest forecast.